AI & ML

February 2026 CVE Analysis: Critical Vulnerabilities Drop 43% as Security Landscape Shifts

· 5 min read

February 2026 brought a 43% decline in high-severity vulnerabilities compared to the previous month. Recorded Future's Insikt Group® tracked 13 vulnerabilities requiring urgent remediation, down from 23 in January 2026. Each carried a 'Very Critical' Recorded Future Risk Score.

Key findings for security teams:

  • Microsoft dominates the landscape: Six vulnerabilities—46% of February's total—affected Microsoft products. CISA added all six to its Known Exploited Vulnerabilities catalog on the same day.
  • Supply-chain compromise targets Notepad++: Lotus Blossom, a suspected Chinese state-sponsored group, weaponized CVE-2025-15556 to hijack Notepad++'s update mechanism, distributing Cobalt Strike Beacon and the Chrysalis backdoor.
  • APT28 leverages MSHTML weakness: Russia's APT28 exploited CVE-2026-21513 through weaponized Windows Shortcut files to execute multi-stage attacks.
  • Exploit code circulating: Four vulnerabilities have public proof-of-concept exploits available. A fifth allegedly has exploit code for sale.

Bottom line: The 43% drop in volume doesn't diminish the threat. February's vulnerabilities include confirmed nation-state exploitation and five remote code execution flaws, underscoring the need for intelligence-driven patch prioritization.

February 2026 Vulnerability Reference

All 13 vulnerabilities listed below were actively exploited during February 2026.

#
Vulnerability
Risk Score
Affected Vendor/Product
Vulnerability Type/Component
Public PoC
1
99
Notepad++
CWE-494 (Download of Code Without Integrity Check)
2
99
BeyondTrust Remote Support (RS) and Privileged Remote Access (PRA)
CWE-78 (Improper Neutralization of Special Elements used in an OS Command ('OS Command Injection'))
3
99
Microsoft Windows
CWE-693 (Protection Mechanism Failure)
No
4
99
Microsoft Windows
CWE-693 (Protection Mechanism Failure)
No
5
99
Microsoft Office
CWE-807 (Reliance on Untrusted Inputs in a Security Decision)
No
6
99
Microsoft Windows
CWE-843 (Access of Resource Using Incompatible Type ('Type Confusion'))
No
7
99
Microsoft Windows
CWE-476 (NULL Pointer Dereference)
No
8
99
Microsoft Windows
CWE-269 (Improper Privilege Management)
*Yes
9
99
Apple iOS, macOS, tvOS, watchOS, and visionOS
CWE-119 (Improper Restriction of Operations within the Bounds of a Memory Buffer)
No
10
99
Soliton Systems K.K. FileZen
CWE-78 (Improper Neutralization of Special Elements used in an OS Command ('OS Command Injection'))
No
11
99
Google Chromium
CWE-416 (Use After Free)
12
99
Dell RecoverPoint for Virtual Machines (RP4VMs)
CWE-798 (Use of Hard-coded Credentials)
No
13
99
Cisco Catalyst SD-WAN Controller and Manager
CWE-287 (Improper Authentication)

Table 1: Vulnerabilities actively exploited in February 2026 based on Recorded Future data. *An alleged exploit for CVE-2026-21533 is advertised for sale on GitHub. Recorded Future Triage captured the advertisement, viewable here via Replay Monitor. (Source: Recorded Future)

February 2026 Threat Landscape

Most Targeted Vendors

  • Microsoft accounted for six vulnerabilities spanning Windows, Windows Server, Office, and Microsoft 365
  • BeyondTrust disclosed a critical OS command injection flaw affecting Remote Support (RS) 25.3.1 and earlier, plus Privileged Remote Access (PRA) 24.3.4 and earlier
  • Cisco faced active exploitation of an authentication bypass in Catalyst SD-WAN infrastructure
  • Other affected vendors: Notepad++, Apple, Soliton Systems K.K., Google, Dell

Dominant Vulnerability Classes

  • CWE-78 – OS Command Injection (most common, tied)
  • CWE-693 – Protection Mechanism Failure (most common, tied)
  • CWE-476 – NULL Pointer Dereference
  • CWE-843 – Type Confusion
  • CWE-807 – Reliance on Untrusted Inputs in a Security Decision

Confirmed Threat Actor Activity

Malware campaigns linked to specific vulnerabilities:

  • Lotus Blossom (suspected Chinese state-sponsored) weaponized CVE-2025-15556 to intercept Notepad++ updates between June and December 2025. The operation rotated command-and-control servers across three distinct attack chains, delivering a Metasploit loader, Cobalt Strike Beacon, and the custom Chrysalis backdoor.
  • APT28 (Russian state-sponsored) exploited CVE-2026-21513 via malicious Windows Shortcut files containing embedded HTML payloads. Network telemetry linked the activity to known APT28 infrastructure.
  • UNC6201 (suspected Chinese nexus) leveraged CVE-2026-22769 to compromise Dell RecoverPoint for VMs appliances, installing the SLAYSTYLE web shell, BRICKSTORM backdoor, and GRIMBOLT—a C# backdoor compiled with native AOT to evade detection.

Extended exploitation timelines:

  • UAT-8616 chained CVE-2026-20127 with CVE-2022-20775 to gain root access on Cisco Catalyst SD-WAN systems. Cisco Talos attributes the campaign to a sophisticated actor and assesses the activity dates to at least 2023.

Immediate Action Required: CVE-2025-15556

CVE-2025-15556 | Notepad++ Supply-Chain Compromise

Risk Score: 99 (Very Critical) | CISA KEV: Added February 12, 2026

Why this matters: Lotus Blossom hijacked Notepad++'s update mechanism to distribute malicious installers over six months, deploying Cobalt Strike and the Chrysalis backdoor to targeted users. The flaw exists in the WinGUp updater used by Notepad++ versions before 8.8.9, which fails to cryptographically verify update metadata and installer packages.

Affected versions: Notepad++ prior to 8.8.9 (upgrade to 8.9.1 recommended)

Immediate remediation steps:

  • Deploy Notepad++ version 8.9.1, released January 26, 2026
  • Hunt for malicious update.exe (SHA256: 4d4aec6120290e21778c1b14c94aa6ebff3b0816fb6798495dc2eae165db4566)
  • Monitor for GUP.exe spawning unexpected child processes
  • Inspect network connections to 45[.]76[.]155[.]202, 45[.]77[.]31[.]210, 45[.]32[.]144[.]255, or 95[.]179[.]213[.]0
  • Search for ProShow directories under %APPDATA% or suspicious files in %APPDATA%\Adobe\Scripts\
  • Alert on curl.exe uploading to temp[.]sh

Known command-and-control infrastructure: 45[.]76[.]155[.]202, 45[.]77[.]31[.]210, cdncheck[.]it[.]com, safe-dns[.]it[.]com, 95[.]179[.]213[.]0

Detection resources: Insikt Group developed Sigma rules to identify update.exe executing reconnaissance commands (whoami, tasklist, systeminfo, netstat -ano) and curl-based exfiltration. Rules are available to Recorded Future customers.

Figure 1: Risk Rules History from Vulnerability Intelligence Card® for CVE-2025-15556 in Recorded Future (Source: Recorded Future)